700
FXUS65 KVEF 291941
AFDVEF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
1241 PM PDT Sun Mar 29 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

*  There will be one more day of anomalous early-season heat
   before cooler temperatures arrive Tuesday onward.

*  A pattern shift will bring breezy conditions, and sporadic
   precipitation chances the middle-to-end of next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...through next weekend.

The long-duration and record-shattering heat spell is finally
winding down as the dominant high pressure ridge across the West
begins to break down. Nonetheless, high temperatures today are
likely again to rival daily records for many locales. Las Vegas
has broken or tied daily record highs for 11 days in a row now,
and if the forecast plays out as expected, it will extend the
streak to 12 days today. Slight cooling will begin Monday as
heights begin to decline, but the cooling will be subtle, and
only amount to 1-3 degrees cooler than today. More substancial
cooling will follow for Tuesday onward as a couple of Pacific
troughs traverse the West and send heights back to more
traditional Springtime territory. In fact, by Friday, our forecast
high for Las Vegas is 73 which, would be the first below normal
high temperature in over 3 weeks.

As the pattern changes and temperatures cool, breezy conditions
will overspread much of the region. Strongest winds are expected
across the higher terrain and Western Mojave Desert, particularly
Tuesday through Thursday as the stronger troughs traverse the
Great Basin. Precipitation chances have also ticked upward across
the Sierra, Southern Great Basin, and northwest Plateau of
northern Arizona as a quick moving shortwave moves through the
Great Basin. Most of the precipitation will be intercepted by the
higher terrain, but even parts of the northern Mojave Desert may
see some light showers or sprinkles Tuesday night into Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 18Z Forecast Package...Breezy
southwest winds are expected to return this afternoon with gusts 18-
25 knots likely (80%). There may be a brief period of southeast (120-
140 deg) winds between 18Z-20Z with speeds between 7-10 knots, but
confidence remains low. Southwest winds will diminish around 02Z
with speeds around 8-10 knots overnight. Scattered to broken high
clouds at or above 15-20kft.

For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...For the 18Z Forecast Package...Light winds this morning
give way to breezy south/southwest winds this afternoon. Gusts 15-25
knots likely (70%) across the Mojave Desert, with winds weakening
around sunset. Scattered to broken high clouds at or above 12kft
across the region.

&&

.CLIMATE...Numerous climate locations have a forecast high
temperature and/or forecast warm low temperature within 3 degrees of
the daily record.

The table below shows the daily record maximum temperature and the
year the record was last set. An asterisk (*) denotes which records
are in jeopardy (within 3 degrees of the forecast).

MAX           SUN, MAR 29  MON, MAR 30  TUE, MAR 31
              Record(Yr)   Record(Yr)   Record (Yr)

Las Vegas     89(2015)*    90(2015)*    91(1966)
Bishop        84(2015)*    85(2015)     87(1966)
Needles       95(2015)*    98(2015)     97(2018)
Daggett       91(2015)*    92(2015)     91(2011)
Kingman       86(1934)*    87(2004)     88(1934)
Desert Rock   85(2015)*    86(2015)     84(2015)
Death Valley  102(2015)*   101(2015)    103(2015)

The table below shows the daily record warm minimum temperature and
the year the record was last set. An asterisk (*) denotes which
records are in jeopardy (within 3 degrees of the forecast).

WARM MIN      SUN, MAR 29  MON, MAR 30  TUE, MAR 31
              Record(Yr)   Record (Yr)  Record (Yr)

Las Vegas     62(2015)*    63(2015)*    65(2015)*
Bishop        50(2001)     49(2011)     50(2013)
Needles       66(1986)*    66(2013)*    69(1893)*
Daggett       60(2001)*    62(2013)*    63(1969)*
Kingman       51(1964)*    53(1974)     53(2025)*
Desert Rock   58(1986)*    59(2010)     54(1986)*
Death Valley  71(1943)*    77(1978)     72(2011)*

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Outler
AVIATION...Gorelow

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NWS Las Vegas (VEF) Office